Fraunhofer Institute for
Systems and Innovation Research ISI
EVA-TREN - Improved Decision-Aid Methods and Tools to Support Evaluation of Investments for Transport and Energy Networks in Europe
Objectives and structure
- reviewing the ex ante assessment approaches for large infrastructure projects;
- selecting the best practices;
- improving the assessment methodologies for the ex-ante evaluation through the ex post evaluation.
The final output of the project will be twofold. On one side the standardisation of the ex post evaluation methodologies. On the other side it will carry out a matching exercise for case studies between ex-ante and ex-post analyses, in order to improve assessment procedures. The question to which the EVA TREN project is expected to answer is extremely relevant and regards the effectiveness of the current assessment tools and practices compared with the problem complexity to deal with. As a matter of fact the evaluation tools should be planning instruments useful to establish a dialogue with the other project phases and, at the same time, to manage the several dimension of the policy decision support.
The adopted methodology could be summed up as follows:
- identification of the most critical aspect concerning the implementation of large infrastructure projects;
- supporting the developments of tools, indicators and operational parameters for the assessment of sustainable transport and energy network;
- suggesting good practices to the policy makers.
All these activities, which would be a sound theoretical improvement, will be supported by the available scientific literature but above all by a deep analysis and re-examination of the eleven case studies. These have been selected both according to their Community dimension relevance and to their work advancement stage, which in some case reached up the end.
ISI role in the project
In particular, big projects take a considerable impact on economic development, employment and the environment. Analyses of worldwide investment projects clearly show that project plans tend to under-estimate costs and over-estimate benefits. Among the various case studies investigated by the EVA-TREN project, a striking example for the divergence of initial plans and actual development is the Baltic Sea Motorway (A20) from Luebeck in northern Germany through the new federal state of Mecklenburg Western-Pommerania to Stetin at the German-Polish border. Due to several reasons the projected positive impact of this truly trans-European transport project are lacking. The purposes are investigated by Fraunhofer-ISI in a dedicated case study.
- TRT - Trasporti e Territorio
- IWW - Institut für Wirtschaftspolitik und Wirtschaftsforschung
- ISI - Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research
- ipts - Institute for Prospective Technological Studies
- EPFL - Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Chaire Logistique, Economie, Management
- Csil Milano - Centro Studi Industria Leggera
- Nestear - Transport en Europe, Application Recherche
- IIP - Institute for Industrial Production, University of Karlsruhe